Tuesday, December 6, 2011

Quick Math

So Bob Klapisch is all over the Wilpons for letting Reyes walk without any sort of fight or attempt to sign him:


I'm not surprised about that "stuff," but what about the tidbit about the Mets drawing 4 million fans in 2008? Didn't they play in that now-departed Shea Stadium? Yes, yes they did. So 4,000,000 (attending fans) divided by 81 (home games) leaves us with 49,000+. The new stadium (Citi Field) doesn't come close to a capacity of 49,000 (it caps at 41,800 or 45,000 depending on how you count). Wasn't Citi Field supposed to be for the fans AND for making the team more profitable? Tsk tsk.
-StanO

Monday, November 14, 2011

Hmmm....What?!

Way to instill confidence, Sandy. Here's my take away from this article:

-The Marlins will probably sign Reyes for 5 years, 18-20M
-The Mets cannot offer Reyes anything near that money
-The clincher: when asked if the Mets' decreased payroll affects their ability to sign Reyes, "I wouldn't say that was necessarily the case," said Alderson. How very ambiguous of you.

Sandy Alderson doesn't seem like he's invested much, if any, energy in trying to court Reyes. In fact, to sum up the correspondence he's had with Reyes's agent, Alderson used the term "phone tag." I play phone tag with an old friend I know I'll be seeing for the holidays. Not a key free agent for whom I am supposedly doing all I can to re-sign. Well, not supposedly, but ?I think should be. And listen, I'm not saying that Alderson should offer whatever money is necessary to woo Reyes, but at least let the guy know you're interested.
Maybe now I'm just talking as a fan. But even if they know they couldn't go higher than, say 80 over 4 years, or even 80 over 5 whatever the number, the Mets should be aggressive at least with what resources they have. That way, at the end of the day, Mets fans can at least say "we did what we could." It's a lot better than "I left him like 3 messages."
*
Oh, and did I mention this? I'm not sure if you could argue that Kemp and Reyes mean as much to their respective clubs as one another, but:
Both play key defensive positions; both are coming off career years; one is 27, the other 28; both are fan favorites.
Now, the Dodgers don't have an owner and they are somehow able to commit $160,000,000 to one player. Who is writing his checks? Spam, I realize you and I spoke of this earlier, but what the heck? Met ownership has less money than Dodgers ownership, who - if I may repeat myself - is undetermined!

But seriously, putting money aside, why do I get the feeling like the Mets are not at all motivated to go after Reyes? It just seems to me like Alderson should be more vocal; if he really feels like he's unable to go after Reyes, say so. If going after isn't the game plan for health concerns or any other strategic reason, it would be nice to know that management is at least following reason and not being guided by the wilponzis.

This is going to be a long off season, which may not quickly enough turn into a long season.
-Natron

Thursday, November 10, 2011

Are Jew Serious

Okay, I have more important things to do than sound off on former major league players who happen to be of Jewish descent gearing up for Israel's entrance to the WBC. Now, if A-Rod is eligible for the Dominican Republic and Piazza can help out Team Italy, I see no issue with these players helping out Team Israel. But, I do think it would be somewhat odd if the players mentioned all suited up for a country they probably have no intimate connection to. Now, on the other hand, if these players had a pre-existing connection to Israel - friends, family, or just personal interest - then that would be another story. But I've never heard of Ian Kinsler or Danny Valncia discuss how best to prepare matzoh balls.

Having said all that, it would be interesting to see this "dream team" of Jewish baseball players. Here's my starting lineup (assuming these players actually identify themselves as Jewish). The retired players I name here were those specifically named in the article:
C Brad Ausmus
1B Ike Davis
2B Ian Kinsler
3B Kevin Youkilis
SS Danny Valencia
LF Ryan Braun
CF Sam Fuld
RF Shawn Green
DH: Gabe Kapler (I think the WBC uses the DH throughout)
SP: Jason Marquis
RP: Scott Feldman, Craig Breslow, John Grabow, Scott Schoenweis (no telling how many you'll need to follow Marquis)

This list owes a tip of my hat to bleacherrport.com and a playful wag of my finger to dandykoufax.com. The idea of tip my of my hat/wag of my finger, of course, pays homage to Stephen "I'm not Jewish but that Stuart guy is" Colbert.

NB: It's true, it's true, I am a J-E-W.

-Natron

New Math

From Mike Mazzeo at ESPNNewYork.com:

"The Mets already have $65 million committed to pitcher Johan Santana, third baseman David Wright and left fielder Jason Bay"

Am I missing something here? Here are the salaries of these players, respectively, according to Cot's Baseball Contracts (which, by the way, I love): 24, 15.25, 18.13 = just over 57 Million dollars. That's a lot of money, but entirely different from $65M. Why does ESPN continue to forgo fact checking? I'm not suggesting 8 Million dollars will determine if the Mets can sign Reyes to a long term, 100+ million dollar contract - but $8M is a lot of money. Enough to determine other free agent signings this off season, to be sure.

Can you imagine if CNN reported the GNP with a 12% error? Or if the New York Times reported that the annual salary of some CEO was 12% off from what it actually is? They'd have to dedicate an article to correcting their erroneous ways. I don't know why I get so annoyed when I find errors like these on ESPN. Maybe it's because I feel like I could do a better job at it. Maybe because I think it takes away from the good reporting that they do have on their site. Or maybe I'm just anal.
-Natron

Addendum:
Case in point
Rod Barajas did NOT hit 50 homers over the last two years. He's hit 33. Going back to the last 3 years, he has hit 52 home runs. ESPN is turning me into a curmudgeon. A curmudgeon, I say!

Update to Addendum:
Seems someone up there (in Bristol, that is) likes me; they have changed "50" to "33" (as of 8:46 pm tonight).

Wednesday, November 2, 2011

Still Cold Here (not just talking about snow)

Well, it's officially hot stove season. Even though nothing major has happened, some moves are being made. The Yanks signed a pitcher they promised 4 years/$92 mill, now up to 5 years for $122M. The Dodgers are being sold. Remind me again how the Wilpons are still allowed to own their financially-accursed club? Theo Epstein fired his manager before signing a single new player. Rumors of a Theo-Tito reunion already abound. Oh, and R.A. Dickey has officially decided to climb Mt. Kilimanjaro: can't help but wonder what t-shirts might come of this?

This is all great, especially that last factoid, but I can't wait for contracts to get signed. With the recent initiation of Free Agency, we should start to hear a lot more rumors going 'round. Pujols, Fielder, and Mark Buerhle round out my top 3 FA's. By the way, doesn't it seem odd how under-appreciated Buerhle is these days...I mean, the guy has a no-no and a perfecto! and in that no-no he picked off the only batter he walked. Who was that batter? Answer below). Now, for all the anxiety, don't expect the Reyes to sign with the Mets any time soon - if at all. I heard Joe 7 Evan on 660 WFAN bandy about a 4 year 100 million dollar offer to Reyes. If the Mets are going to have a payroll around $100, I don't see how you can afford to pay (yea I'm rounding here) Reyes 25, Santana 25, Bay 17, and Wright 16. For those (not) calculating at home, that leaves $17 million dollars left to field 21 more players, including an entire pitching staff (with or without Johan, which remains to be seen). Ok, this post has turned from prospective to depressing, so let's move on...

Well, this is good to finally happen, though I'm still not clear as to how this will affect the Mets' offense vs. defense. At the very least, the walls will now be Met Blue instead of Suicidal Soot (yea, that's right, I said soot).

Here's to the hot stove season.
-Natron

Sunday, August 7, 2011

Beltran and the $100 Million Contracts

I think they did get what they paid for in Beltran, with the knowledge that contracts over $100M usually produce dire results. Centerfielder Vernon Wells, Kevin Brown, Mike Hampton, Jason Giambi, Griffey, Zito, and Carlos Lee all were disasters. Not-so-great 100M signings include Todd Helton, Alfonso Soriano, Beltran... Many are in progress and need hindsight to judge (Tulowitzki, Miguel Cabrera, Tex, CC, Cliff Lee, Ryan Howard, A-Rod, and Santana), but I'd say the two best deals are probably Manny and Jeter.

I got the list from sporcle, actually: http://www.sporcle.com/games/baseballs_richest.php (just hit "give up", or try it out and guess).

I was actually gonna point out to you two that the Yankees have allowed fewer runs this year than the Bosox - and that boggles my mind in so many ways.

-Natron



I think you have to give Tex and CC - and to a lesser extent A-rod - a successful grade for the simple fact that, with those guys, the Yanks won a World Series. Also take into account that each of them were major contributors to winning that championship, which adds to my argument. I think if Beltran had won a WS with the Mets and played at least as well during that year you could call it a success. But given his uneven numbers and recent spat of injuries I think overall for what the Mets thought his impact would be, it was a failing grade or at least a "D."


I do agree most $100+ million contracts end up being bad ideas. Sadly there are a lot of ex-Yankees on that list Natron produced. A-Rod is sort of an enigma. He won the WS but creates a LOT of distractions by just being a complete moron in the best cases and an outright cheater in the worst. He also doesn't seem to learn from any of his mistakes (see poker and the fact that he still employs his cousin whom he said gave him steroids). That being said, his presence has generated a TON of money for the Yanks (through television ratings, ticket sales, jerseys and other merchandise sales, etc.) and also add to that a WS title during his tenure and he's a passing grade, although sometimes he does feel like a failure.


Jeter, for all the talk about how overrated and overpaid he is, was always a great signing for the Yanks. Maybe he wouldn't have been on other teams, but for the Yanks he's worth every penny. BTW, he's been hitting the hell out of the ball lately and has his average up to above .280. Perhaps rumors of his demise were a bit premature. He might not be what he once was, but a shortstop in that lineup batting .280 with a flare for the dramatic is more than passable.

-Ronjaya



Just a quick chime-in: Natron poined out (during a real life conversation!) that A-Rod may be producing at a high clip - we're just talking about the on-field production - but is he producing numbers that are almost twice as good as Beltran's? Because his contract pays him an average of $27.5M per year versus Beltran's average of $17M.

-StanO

Thursday, August 4, 2011

Beltran's Met Legacy

Here is an extremely well-written piece on Carlos Beltran by Rany Jazayerli:

http://www.grantland.com/story/_/id/6827109/the-case-carlos-beltran

It essentially talks about Beltran being a very clutch player for his career. Thankfully, it also reports that the Mets got back a prospect with very high potential.
-StanO

Tuesday, July 26, 2011

Who's on First?

Haven't read this yet but looks promising:
-Natron

It was a pretty good article. I want to hear a "debate" though. Or would've liked to read Simon's opinion why they didn't belong. He made the solid case why they belong (amazing effing defense, man!). What do you think?
-StanO

Wednesday, July 6, 2011

Mets and Scouting

So, it seems Freddy Garcia is having a good season:

http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/stats/_/id/4007/freddy-garcia

Interesting, because he was so "bad" that he never made it to the Mets' Major League squad.


Then there's Jason Vargas:

http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/stats/_/id/6352/jason-vargas

Sort of thrown into a deal the Mets made. But he got dumped for nothing. He's had a couple of solid years in a row. I guess I can't complain too much, though, because we have Justin Turner, Ruben Tejada, and Angel Pagan who have come out of nowhere, and... well, I can't think of any pitchers.
-StanO

Tuesday, July 5, 2011

Interesting All-Star Ideas

Hmm, I seem to be giving the Mets the back page even though this site is dedicated to them. Oh well. I thought this dude had some interesting suggestions to tweak the MLB All-Star game. I read all of his suggestions and his explanations (but not every word). I thought them interesting:


-StanO

Monday, June 6, 2011

Monday, May 23, 2011

Fred Wilpon Rips his Team

Um wow, this should make for some good clubhouse chemistry: http://m.nypost.com/p/blogs/metsblog/mets_owner_rips_reyes_beltran_and_Srdv3R9rfF8zRONGq7mz8J -Ronjaya


I saw that. I won't be surprised if Selig does nothing, but owners are NOT ALLOWED TO TALK ABOUT THEIR PLAYERS LIKE THAT. Not the insults, I mean putting a dollar figure on them. I'm pretty sure an owner can't say in public what their players are/are not worth. Imagine if the Yankees had said before he hit free agency "yea Jeter thinks he's getting paid but we're going no higher than 3 years for 54 mill." Pretty sure that's tampering or something.
Plus, assuming the Mets wanna trade them for as much as possible WHY ARE YOU RIPPING BELTRAN AND REYES?! I say the Wilpons should be forced to hand over control like LA. I didn't use to think so, but clearly this guy's crazy....
-Natron


It also pretty much seals the deal that those guys will not be back with the club so any hope Mets fans had of rebuilding with them should be gone. I wouldn't be surprised if this outburst further declines attendance and ticket sales.
-Ronjaya


It might very well reflect in ticket sales. I'd come to terms with the reality of not keeping either for a while now, but as the article says, you can't publicly show that as the owner.
-Natron


I would say this is right up there with Steinbrenner's worst rants, and might even top them. I can't recall him ever questioning what would amount to his core three like that. Or at least core two in Reyes and Wright. It would be like Steinbrenner ripping Jeter and Rivera.
-Ronjaya


It would be like Steinbrenner ripping Jeter two years ago on the edge of free agency. He did shady stuff but rarely if ever did he say something that would have been bad business. Not exactly comparable, but the closest I could think in Yankee world was when Cashman recently said the Mets abused Feliciano. Comparable in that it made him look dumb, but not comparable cuz he's not the owner and he wasn't talking about franchise players. So, in short, the Yankees have only committed a degree of the crime Wilpon made in this interview.
-Natron


Yeah Cashman has definitely said some stupid things lately. He didn't handle the Rivera or Jeter free agency very well in my opinion, the Feliciano thing was not smart and even the Posada thing was too public. It's almost like now that Steinbrenner is gone, Cashman feels empowered, like a spoiled kid. Still though, he has enough sense not to outright bash the players like Wilpon did, that really shocked me to read.

Steinbrenner did call Irabu a fat toad, but that was hardly one of his stars and it was more funny than anything else.
-Ronjaya


That Fat Toad comment was the bomb diggity when he said it. In the meantime, here's the article from The New Yorker:

http://www.newyorker.com/reporting/2011/05/30/110530fa_fact_toobin?currentPage=all

By the way, how was Wilpon tampering? They're his players under contract. With whom did he tamper?
-StanO

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Unbelievable! It turns out that Beltran produced almost exactly what his contract was worth: http://espn.go.com/blog/statsinfo/post/_/id/20185/wilpon-got-what-he-paid-for-in-beltran
-StanO (5/24/11)

Monday, May 9, 2011

An Injured Met? Inconceivable

Well, it appears that Chris Young will be out for the rest of the season. Damn. Can we really be all that surprised?


-StanO

Tuesday, April 19, 2011

Pelfrey on the Blocks, Maybe?

This guy answered a fan's email about trading away Mike Pelfrey.


I don't understand why he'd open with such a weak statement and then back it up with some decent (e.g., his trade value will decrease between now and a year from now) and not-so-decent points (e.g., "5 million through arbitration next year. That's a lot of money for a pitcher who last year, in his best season, ranked 50th amongst Major League starters in Wins Above Replacement"). Well, I wouldn't say that $5 million is too high for a #2 starter (you know, 50th best pitcher, 30 teams...). Regardless, there are some other good tidbits in there beyond the Pelfrey situation.
Be good,
StanO

They Stole it from Us

So, apparently Mike Leake can't afford his own t-shirts. That and/or he has a devious side to him. Actually, I think he can afford his own T's because he is making over $400k this year and he was one of the top picks in the draft. http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/news/story?id=6384863
-StanO

Let's Make Money!

How about this? Parking is now $35 at Yankee Stadium. How f***ing ridiculous is that??
-Ronjaya

It sounds pretty nuts dude. Money talks, right?
-StanO

Sunday, April 17, 2011

Ollie and Management

Interesting read on Oliver Perez:

-Ronjaya (3/29/11)


It was interesting. Why was it a half-story? I feel like Schreiber gave some background/intro then said: "Now he is gone, although the binder remains, testament to a colossal, and costly, misjudgment by the Mets."
-StanO (3/29/11)


Good article. Randomly, check out the legalese sight about rules and regulations for transactions in baseball:
-Natron (3/29/11)


In other news, Jason Bay to start the season on the DL.
-Ronjaya (3/30/11)


You say "in other news" but it sounds like the same old news to me :p
-Natron (3/30/11)


I heard on Michael Kay yesterday that the Mets have sold less than 600,000 tickets for the season. That's not terrific. It will really be a miracle if the Wilpons don't have to sell a majority share of this team. They seem like nice people, but man do they screw up a lot in terms of business/baseball decisions.
-Ronjaya (3/30/11)


I'm definitely expecting the Mets to be "under new ownership" by the end of the season at the latest. This might not be a complete sale of the team, but at a least 50% will go to another group. Might even happen during the season, but I'm not sure if any owner has ever sold even a small portion of their flub midseason. Anyway, happy opening day!
-Natron (3/30/11)

Wednesday, April 6, 2011

And the Season's Over!

About the only thing I can say to this is LOL

http://sports.yahoo.com/mlb/blog/big_league_stew/post/Mocking-Family-Guy-bit-works-way-into-Mets-bro?urn=mlb-wp2295
-Ronjaya


I saw that, too! Thought it was great.
-StanO


I heard about this on Boomer and Carton today. I thinks it's hilarious but, as far as business goes, the operator or whomever it is has to get canned. But hey maybe Letterman will hire him?

"Aaaand the season's over"
-Natron


Any Met fan worth his/her salt would think that it was a great clip. How did it end up playing into the broadcast? (I mean, how did the two exactly intertwine?). Yes, I just judged all Mets fans.
-StanO

Sunday, April 3, 2011

Your First Pitch

Having Pedro out there is an abominable idea. He's a big jerk. So is Ollie. You guys have terrible thoughts. Let's go Mets!
-StanO

Thursday, March 31, 2011

Master of Ceremonies

http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/recap?gameId=310331124 (look under Game Notes)

http://newyork.cbslocal.com/2011/03/31/first-pitch-mike-mussina-kicks-off-yankees-2011-season/http://newyork.cbslocal.com/2011/03/31/first-pitch-mike-mussina-kicks-off-yankees-2011-season/
If the Cardinals just had Jim Edmonds throw out their first pitch and das Yankees are gonna have Mike Mussina throw out their first pitch, who should the Mets pick? Let's say of players who have retired in the past 2 seasons. I'm gonna cheat a little bit and say we invite Pedro Martinez. He claims not to be retired, but then again would Pedro really decline the opportunity to return to the bright lights of New York (and the dimmer lights of Citi Field)? It'd make me wanna go to Opening Day even more this year, and I'm sure Pedro would get a kick out of it. I can just picture him pitching from a full wind up!

What do y'all think?

-Natron

Monday, March 28, 2011

Break it Down

http://espn.go.com/blog/sweetspot/post/_/id/7976/why-jay-bruce-may-have-reached-his-peak

I read this article expecting to disagree with the headline, and I did. But then again, Shoenfield doesn't seem to think Bruce has reached his peak, either. Looking at the list of Top 20 OPS+ by Age 23 Hitters since 2001, Bruce ranks 12th, with much of today's elite filling out the rest. Top 3, in order, are Phat Albert, Miguel Cabrera, and TAFKAP Fielder. I guess ESPN's method of attracting my attention worked...anyway, onto the Metserology:

Wright, unsurprisingly, ranked 9th with a 133 OPS+ in 2006 (and had a 139 OPS+ at 22). Of course, he's gone on to maintain a 137 OPS+ . Almost at the bottom, but still weighing in at 19th, Reyes achieved a 115 OPS+ in 2006, but only 107 OPS+ since (his high of 118 coming in 2008). He beats out Asdrubul Cabrera, for what that's worth, but stands in a group of players like Hanley Ramirez, Joe Mauer, Evan Longoria, and other fantastic players. Including -

Ike Davis 115 OPS+ last year

Shoenfield comments that Ike is the list's only rookie (also the only comment that is worthwhile). There are very few guys on this list who didn't have at least one excellent season after their age 23 year. Which leads me to believe that Davis has a lot of potential in that bat. If he can stay healthy, even a slump at the plate is offset by his slick glove-work. I hope Reyes does not follow the path of Grady Sizemore and Eric Chavez, who have lost entire seasons due to injury. Reyes is still young enough that he can have another standout season, but in all these cases all that matters is health.

I came out of this article expecting Jay Bruce to have a standout season in 2011. I'd consider a repeat of 127 OPS+ from the best defensive RF in the game outstanding. Now, though, I'm excited at the prospect of our 1B doing the same.

-Natron

Sunday, March 27, 2011

For Anyone Who Thinks Managers Don't Make a Difference

There are a lot of nay saying bloggers who don't think "clubhouse chemistry" means much to a team. And in particular that "players' managers" like Torre and Sciosa are successful because of their talent and not anything to do with their managerial skills - with Torre, in spite of his managerial skills.

But read this and take another p.o.v.

http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/spring2011/columns/story?columnist=stark_jayson&id=6205577

-Natron

Where's Shea?

I can't say I disagree with you, Ronjaya. It hurts when the tickets cost so, so much and the team is so, so bad. A capacity crowd is about 75% the size of the Shea capacity. If there is ever an important or intriguing game at Citifield again, the stadium holds about 13,000 fewer people than Shea did. And that prospect NEVER made sense to me. The Mets play in New York City, why would you make it a smaller stadium?

As far as the amenities go, I do go for the "final score." But I'm a big-time Met game and I'm not carrying kids and families in tow, so...

I think I've written it before but I think Citifield is a beautiful stadium. However, it has a couple of major issues with it. To rehash a little...

-It's significantly smaller than Shea Stadium in terms of crowd capacity. Why eliminate so many people from buying tickets, attending the game, and buying your waaaaay overpriced concessions?
-It doesn't feel like the "home of the Mets." While they have added some more Mets good-ness, I still feel like I could be attending a game for any team.

-StanO

Citifield

How, when you just open a new ballpark, do you lose this much money? The Mets are in serious, serious trouble in my opinion:


They should have built the stadium bigger and made a lot more affordable family-friendly seating. Kids and their families care a lot less about the score of the game than they do the experience.
-Ronjaya

Monday, March 21, 2011

A Response to the Mets History

Did the Mets really pass up the opportunity to pay out $5.9 over one year to pay $29.8 million over 25 years?! What cents (err, sense) does that make? That's absurd. I have Yankee envy.

As Natron pointed out (in a real, face-to-face interaction): Castillo will probably hit a walk-off home-run against the Mets. That and score 100r with an injured Utley ahead of him...
-StanO

A L'il Mets History

I read this article about the Mets and all the contracts they've eaten (with emphasis on the Bobby Bo contract in particular), and it's easy to see why this organization was always seen as second rate. They do really dumb things:
-Ronjaya

Sunday, March 20, 2011

Ollie's Next

WFAN reports that Ollie will be released Monday.
-StanO

I wonder if he'll become the LOOGY (Lefty One Out GuY) for the Phils :P
-Natron

Thursday, March 3, 2011

Ollie P

Dunno how to repeat it exactly, but Craig Carton reports that: if Ollie P. sucks today in his two innings of work, the Mets will cut him. -StanO

Saturday, February 26, 2011

Go Jump off a Cliff (Lee)

A couple whacky things about his contract. Yes, it's 1-2 years less than what the Rangers and Yanks offered, and yes its less total in gauranteed money. HOWEVER, many people are failing to emphasize that the 6th year vests under pretty ordinary circumstances (either 200 IP in 2015 or 400 between 2014 and 2015). Furthermore, that 6th year is....27.5 Million (million) dollars (dollars). That's a $#!% ton! Even more impressive, if that option does not vest, the buy-out is...12.5 Million (million) dollars (dollars). That is a #$!% ton of money, just to walk away! I've read this in just about any article mentioning the contract details, so just check ESPN for one of them. I can't believe he's a Phillie, but hopefully this contract (plus Ryan Howard's absurd contract and Halladay's $20M/year) cripples the Phillies financially. They'll have these 4 guys this year, but Oswalt is gone after 2011 and Halladay is FA after 2012. So it's not like they'll have this rotation for as long as Lee is here. I do, however, have a feeling that 2011 is gonna be the year of the Phillie. phrack.
-Natron (12/15/10)

Response 1:

I read this email the other day (very briefly - briefly enough that I thought I didn't have a response). But there isn't actually much to respond TO. I did share this contract detail with a coworker, though. Basically, he's making a boatload in 2016 unless he CANNOT pitch. In which case he'll still make at least $12.5M. Maybe the Phils'll be crippled. But then again, if they're not trading for people, they may also be cultivating a beautiful pharm...
-StanO (12/18/10)

JD Drew and Baseball Economics

Rob Neyer, whom I generally like, said the contract scares him. That's great, but he also said this about JD Drew:
"The Drew contract has worked out decently for them"
Are you f@#$ing kidding me? Over the past 4 seasons, JD Drew has gotten $14M per year to play right field in Fenway Park. Disregarding defense, cuz they got him for his bat, these are his seasonal averages with the sox (c/o baseballreference.com)

131 games (not great but given his health issues, pretty durable)
66 (!) RBI
79 R
119 (!) Hits per season

His OBP is a respectable .377 but his SLGis .476 and his BA was .270. I realize batting average isn't a very telling stat or whatever, but for $14 million, the guy's hitting, well, badly. The ops of .853 is nice in theory, but it's not resulting in many RBI, runs, or hits of any kind for that matter. I'd say that this contract was a bust, not "decent."

I was just talking to a friend about the free agent market. If it can be considerd a true market, where each contract is a commodity, I wonder if at some point there will be a crash! I mean, the value of the contract per player has been all sorts of whacky the past couple seasons. One guy gets low balled and we say it's a change in direction; then Jayson Werth and Carl Crawford get 2006 type money and no one knows how to treat the free agent market. I wonder if someone who knows more about economic theory could project how the market will go, seeing how the relative value of players has gone up and down and up and down over the past couple years. Surprisingly, it's not Scott Boras' fault!

I'm also interested to find out what the Sox offer Adrian Gonzalez as a contract extension. That could be a boatload of $$ as well.
-Natron (12/9/10)

Response 1:
Dang, dude. Well, I agree with you that his contract is mostly a bust. I'd say that the .377 obp and .476 slg are pretty good. What's wrong with those numbers IYO (in your opinion)?

I don't think the "contract market" is going to crash other than what seemed to be the downward trend and/or people getting low-balled since 2006 (until now). However, if there were a real serious economic depression in the US, I could see contracts crashing...
-StanO (12/9/10

Response 2:
.377 and .476 are pretty good. They're definitely above average. Are they worth $14M a year though? Also, he plays a lot of games at Fenway, which is certainly a hitter's park. Finally, you can say all you want about qualitative stats, what really matters is his actual production - and in this case its about 20 HR and 70 RBI a year. That's pitiful return for $14M. Ok maybe not pitiful, but I wouldn't call that decent. Would u?

It would be interesting, not in a good way just like in an experiment gone wrong kinda way, to see what would happen if teams started going bankrupt. I dont think its likely cuz I'm pretty sure MLB still makes billions of dollars a year, but if teams' ownership did start to default, would the contracts deflect back to MLB itself? It wouldn't be good that's for sure.
-Natron (12/10/10)

Response 3:

The .377 and .476 are worth $14M. IF they have the actual production that you're referring to (HR, RBI, R). It's a poor return.

For everyone to default? "Everyone" being the owners. That's crazy. And would be depressing (no pun intended). Just remember, the Steinbrenners are not (at least George hadn't been) the richest owners in the league (or the top for that matter). That had way too many parentheses...
-StanO (12/13/10)

-Natron (2/26/11)

Jeter Contract Talks

This article could not be more moronic:

http://sports.espn.go.com/new-york/mlb/columns/story?columnist=matthews_wallace&id=5896517

Of course Jeter has a right to be angry, especially because his anger was directed at the way the Yankees went so public with some of their statements regarding the negotiations. I thought that was unprofessional and out of character with the front office. Basically this guy is saying because some dipship past owner of the Yankees basically blackmailed Mickey Mantle during negotiations, that Jeter should be glad his only went the way it did. Really, really stupid. I can't believe people get paid to write this.
-Ronjaya (12/8/10)

Response 1:

I don't have the same affinity for Jeter that Yankee fans have. Heck, there's even something wrong with me where I don't even respect him as much as a baseball player as I probably should as a baseball fan. However, I agree with much of what Wallace Matthews wrote. And, remember, Jeter's agent opened up the "public negotiations" with: Jeter's value to the Yankees "cannot be overstated." Sounds like he was asking for the big buckos. Anyway, I did disagree with Matthews writing:

So when Jeter says he is angry that some of the details of his negotiation with the Yankees went public -- a negotiation, by the way, that he won even bigger than the Patriots beat the Jets on Monday night -- all you can do is scratch your head.

Jeter did not win the negotiations "bigger than the Patriots." That part is bull. He got slightly more than the Yankees initially offered him. I did agree with this, though, and think it makes a good point:

These are not criticisms of Jeter or insults aimed at his ability. They are merely cold-eyed observations of the natural progression of the human body attempting to perform incredibly difficult athletic feats at an advanced age.

There were several occasions in which Matthews praised Jeter and his career. I don't think Jeter will hit .270 this season. I'd venture to guess .290+
-Stan0 (12/8/10)

Response 2:

I agree with RonJaya that this article was crap. I don't even know what the point of it was. As Sam's first quote demonstrated, this guy's similes are more stretched out than (wait for it) the taffy president wilson used to pull on his ol' farm ranch in Virginia. Where the hell is he going with this quote:

Thankfully, the robber barons who owned and ran baseball teams until Marvin Miller -- and tell me again why he isn't in the Hall of Fame? -- tore down the reserve clause the way liberated Germans tore down the Berlin Wall can no longer treat ballplayers like chattel. The balance of power has shifted, thankfully, from the old, rich guys in the office to the young guys in the uniforms, the ones we all pay to see.

Miller might deserve to be in the HOF, but Matthews uses "robber barons," "liberated Germans" and "chattel" (not to mention the Berlin Wall) in a statement about...owners not having the same power they used to?

What he described about Mantle's negotiation process was interesting, but it has as much to do with the Cold War as Jeter's relationship with Brian Cashman and today's Yankees.

Maybe Jeter should be angry. RonJaya's points about why he should be angry is way more intelligible than Matthews's nonsense. In fact, rather than quote Matthews I'm gonna use one of RonJaya's lines: "I can't believe people get paid to write this. "

If you want my opinion of the situation, Jeter was saying that the negotiations shouldn't have gone public, not that he had "disturbing conversations with the Yankees." I tried finding an actual quote from Jeter in the article. He quotes that Weiss character but not a single quote from Jeter. That's cuz all Jeter ever said he was angry about was the way it got publicized. For all we know Jeter agrees with the final contract - in fact, his signature means he agrees with it - but it was the publicizing of the contract he minded. Weiss never went public with the blackmail against Mantle - here's the kicker - cuz that's what makes it blackmail. Maybe you could say Mantle would only wish he could've had Jeter's problems, as they were much less severe than his own. But you can't say Jeter's situation is at all related to Mantle's! Matthews entire argument is irrelevant to the current events.

Jeter's getting old, but I don't think his bat is all of a sudden done. He's always had an old-man's, inside-out swing, so I'd actually be surprised if he were. But he should probably switch from SS even before this short contract ends. Other positives can be made about Jeter's ability/likelihood to bounce back. Moreover, the fact that the Yanks give everyone else so many years and money, not just in the past but i mean recently too (CC, AJ, ARod, possibly Lee) they coulda at least signed him til his age 40 season.

But forget the contract details. The argument Matthews is trying to debate, I think, is whether Jeter is right that the negotiations should have stayed private. And on that point, Matthews is incoherent, while I think that yea, of course Jeter should be angry that the process went so public.

PS This is exactly what I mean:

"Jeter is coming off the antithesis of Mantle's transcendent 1956 season...Yet The Captain still walked off with a deal that keeps him the highest-paid middle infielder in the game with the potential to earn as much as $65 million over the next four years."

Jeter hasn't said he was angry about the money or years, just the publicizing!
-Natron (12/8/10)

Response 3:

Sam, actually it was Hal Steinbrenner who started the public words for this negotiation by saying that things could get ugly. I'm pretty sure Cashman even chimed in before Jeter's agent said anything.


Nate, I can't find a link but in the same press conference Jeter said he was kind of angry about how public the negotiations got, he did say that he was happy with the contract itself just not how public the Yankees made certain parts of the dealings.

Also as an aside, Paul Molitor hit .270 at 36 years old as well...same as Jeter. The following year he hit .341 and led baseball with 225 hits. Not saying Jeter's gonna do that, but I would bet he hits above .300 next year.
-RonJaya (12/9/10)

Response 4:

Good points, y'all. And - I think, no, pretty sure - it was Boomer and Carton who said that Casey Close started with the "overstated" comment. If that is not the correct sequence, then I am disappointed in how Boomer and Carton presented their info. That was my "source" for saying that Jeter's agent started it all...
-StanO (12/9/10)

Response 5:

Well whoever "started it," we can all agree that Jeter never once griped about it during the process. Only after all was signed and done did he say he was angry about it going public.
-Natron (12/10/10)

Response 6:

On a side note: is it just me or does Lebron James go farther and farther off the deep end every day?

http://sports.yahoo.com/nfl/blog/shutdown_corner/post/LeBron-James-bashes-Trent-Dilfer-on-Twitter?urn=nfl-293762
-RonJaya (12/10/10)

Response 7:

Dude, if a player plays poorly (especially one with superstar ability), it warrants mention. Especially when it's coming from a commentator of the sport! I'd have a hard time railing Manning overall, but he deserves it for his recent play (8 picks; 3 games? Blech!). What is LeBron's problem? It's the freakin' NFL - has nothing to do with LeBron's profession.

Ronjaya, I had actually read that article, too. I thought some of it was well-written and some of it not-so-much. But apparently it was good enough to spark debate :)
-StanO (12/10/10)

Mark Reynolds

He just got sent to Baltimore. This guy has such weird numbers. Last year, thanks to a .198 avg over about 500 AB's, he had 99 hits - and 85 RBI!
http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/players/stats?playerId=28772
I wonder what the most RBI without getting 100 hits in a season is...I bet 85 is right up there and might just be the most. I checked Bonds, the highest total he got for RBI with under 100 hits was a "lowly" 77.
-Natron (12/6/10)

Response 1:

Those numbers are bonkers. 32 HR. 85 RBI. His ISO power was STILL over .200.


How about Big Mac in 1995?


http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/players/stats?playerId=1738


87 H
39 HR
90 RBI


And his 2000-2001 numbers (72H/32HR/73RBI, 56H/29HR/64RBI).
-StanO (12/6/10)

Response 2:

Holy s#!%. 87 H and 39 were home runs. I literally just laughed out loud when i saw his ISO power that year. Omg you're never gonna guess.

.411

I almost just sharted!

Oh, I just outdid it...the follwing year ie 1996 his ISO was .418

but here's the topper: in 2001, Bonds' ISO was a smooth (drum roll please)
five hundred and
thirty and
five

.535. Isolated Power. Not slugging percentage. Slugging MINUS bavg. Dear God man.

Even Babe Ruth had the decency to have a hi enough avg to stay below .500 in any given season.

PS Sosa had a .409 ISO in 2001. And I'm done searching for more.
-Natron (12/7/10)

Response 3:

That ISO power is nuts-o. Hey, remember when we started looking at ISO power to explore the power that some guys hit with, even if their averages weren't so great? Now it's becoming more popular as a "very legitimate" statistic (even sabermetric-like).


How can one iso power .535? That's insane. No, wait a minute, that's juice. I guess there are some sick ISO's out there!
-StanO (12/8/10)

Response 4:

Have you actually seen ISO power used? I don't know what the actual math would be, since theyre calculating different stuff, aren't they?

Batting Average: Singles/AB
Slugging Percentage: (singles+doubles*2+triples*3+hr*4)/AB

ISO Power: [(singles+doubles*2+triples*3+hr*4)-singles]/AB

I guess it kind of is like a percentage of extra bases per AB? Or is it the ratio of having one of your hits be an extra base hit? OR the number of extra base hits more than singles?

This is why I Can't Do Math.
-Natron (12/8/10)

Response 5:

It looks at how much more you are doing than hitting singles when you are hitting. If the batter hit singles exclusively, his ISO would be .000
-StanO (12/9/10)

Response 6:

So what does each number stand for? Like does .100 mean you're hitting an extra base than someone who hits all singles? How does it actually compute? I know in practice that we've found .200 means youre a power hitter.
-Natron (12/10/10)

Response 7:

Yeah, Nate (wow, I shouldn't be responding to this right now...), .100 is like getting an extra base. It "weights" the type of hits you're getting. For example: see Ichiro's ISO power versus (your boy) JD Drew's ISO power... Despite having a career avg. 50 points higher than Drew's, his career slg is LOWER. So, do you want the guy who's "constantly" hitting singles in your lineup, or do you want the guy who can bash a couple in (like Drew) despite the lower likelihood of actually getting a hit? It tells you about the type of hitter he is. Then again, Ichiro can get himself to 2nd base on a steal. So, really ISO power gives you more info about the hitter.


Take Reynolds and his sub-.200 avg... His slugging was STILL higher than Ichiro's and there was over a 100-point difference in their averages. Reynolds might knock himself (or 4 total) in with one swing. The chances are much lower that Ichiro would do the same.


Did that help?
-StanO (12/10/10)

Response 8:
That does help. It also might implicate why Ichiro has supposedly been knocked as a guy who would rather slap an infield single than try to get a solid hit and drive a guy in from second. I think Ichiro has said (or certainly demonstrated) that he could drive the ball if he wanted to, albeit with a lower overall success rate. If he could trade 50 points of batting average for 50 points of slugging, should he? His ISO would be all the same. But the guy with the higher slugging percentage and lower average probably gets more RBI than the higher average singles hitter.
-Natron (2/26/11)

Reyes vs. Crawford - Response

Their numbers are very similar, good catch (hahahaha). I mean, your contract points are well-taken. If Reyes can prove healthy, he does deserve the type of contract you suggest. I like your "stepped methodology," too. I don't know if Reyes would accept 87 for 6 if Crawford just got 7 at 142... Though Reyes is coming of an unspectacular season...

Same with Wright. That's right, can't forget the other "young" one.
-StanO (12/9/10)

Reyes vs. Crawford

OK, I'm looking at Crawford's career stats minus last year because Reyes and he both started at 20 and Reyes is a year younger than Crawford. So essentially I'm comparing their careers through each one's age 27 season.

Reyes' OPS is only 3 points lower than Crawford's through his age 27 season (even including last year, Crawford's only beating him by 12 OPS points). Crawford had 30 more stolen bases, but he also had way more k's and fewer walks. Their OPS+ at equivalent ages were 101 and 103, Jose and Carl ,respectively.

If you can't tell, what I'm aiming at is that Crawford and Reyes are very similar offensively, while Reyes plays SS and Carl is out in left. Thus, I would say they're pretty damn even Steven - notwithstanding "intangibles" and, possibly, health issues. But especially if Reyes maintains his health, which I do believe he will as an overall rule, he could very reasonably demand a contract approaching the 7 years for 20 per season Crawford got. Which scares me. Especially considering the Yankees might be in need of a new SS soon.

We need to sign Reyes and Wright to long-term deals prontissimo, especially since each one has had relative lulls the past season or two. Discount much? I know we signed him for this year at 11, I say we give him like 5 years or even 6 starting at 12M and going up 1M per year, so like 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, maybe up to 17 which comes out to 70 mill over 5 years OR 87 over 6. I would do that, honestly, right now. but then again I'm not the guy in charge.
-Natron (12/9/10)

Lance Berkman - Part 7

Almost as much as the Ollie deal. Both cases are Vinsanity... Wait, where is Vince Carter these days? He's in Orlando these days... Top 50 scorer of all time.
-StanO (12/9/10)

Lance Berkman - Part 6

That salary stat I threw out there, based on last year's payroll because I don't know what either team's payroll will end up being this year:

Berkman, St Louis: 8MM/93MM = 8.6%
Ollie, NYM: 12MM/136MM = 8.8%

boo ya
-Natron (12/8/10)

Lance Berkman - Part 5

That sounds about right. But guess how many Major League games Holliday has played in RF. None. Zip. "Only" 8M is nonsense. What you wrote about the Ollie/Berkman percentages makes sense.

Yeah, how is the Mexican Pacific League in the same sentence as the MLB? Nonsense (again). Those walks are abominable. Agreed. Yeesh.
-StanO (12/8/10)

Lance Berkman - Part 4

LOL I think the plan for now is to put him in LF... and Matt "I drop important line drives" Holliday in RF? It makes no sense, and there was an article I read calling it a good deal because it's "only" $8M. UMMM WTF!? That's probably close to 10% of their payroll! I'd wager it's equal to or more than the percent of the Cards' payroll vs Ollie's salary and the Mets' payroll. Did that make sense?

Speaking of Ollie and not making sense, read this quote from http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/news/story?id=5863996 "New York Mets left-hander Oliver Perez is still as wild as ever, but somehow he's getting better results in the Mexican Pacific League than he did in the past two seasons in the major leagues." (You can read the article for some stats...)
He's somehow doing better? SOMEHOW? PROBABLY BECAUSE IT'S THE #$%^&^$ MEXICAN PACIFIC LEAGUE!!!!! The opposing bats will be much worse... but the strike zone is the same - that 9 bb/15IP is all I care about - not k's (which could be due to poor contact ability on their part) and I give two %$#^& about ERA. But $%#&, man, 9 walks in 15 innings?! That's like 6 per 9. I guess this is from espndeportes so I should say AYE DIOS MIO!
-Natron (12/7/10)

Lance Berkman - Part 3

It's pretty unreal. Maybe he'll make his grand return to right field? There was a time when he played there (with a weak arm - and last played in 2007). He's listed as the St. Louis Cardinals DH, which is funny given the roster spots available to DH's on NL teams. Hmm...
-StanO (12/6/10)

Lance Berkman - Part 2

I have no understanding of Berkman's contract. Forth the money he's owed, where on earth are the Cards gonna play him?! You got Pujols at first and Holliday in left. Honestly, where are they gonna play him?!
-Natron (12/5/10)

Lance Berkman - Part 1

Given that Berkman's numbers have declined in two consecutive years, how does he STILL get an $8 million deal for one year? I could see $8 million for two...

http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/players/stats?playerId=4118
-StanO (12/5/10)

What is he Werth, again?

Natron said it. The Nats messed up the whole market. Just when player contracts were moving in a "more reasonable direction," Werth signs an ABSURD contract. My goodness. Too long. Too much money. Both the years and per annum pay are way too elevated.
-StanO (12/6/10)

What is he Werth? Guest Time!

It's a good thing the Yanks aren't in the market for Crawford. Looks like they have Jeter signed and Rivera. Now if we can secure Lee we're pretty set in the free agent market.

Unless that rumor of us trading for Greinke is true...
-Ronjaya (12/6/10)

What is he Werth? Continued...

My best understanding with this is that the only way Werth could agree to play for the lowly Nats is if they overpaid and over-yeared him. I don't think any team would have given that to anyone on the market, even Crawford was unlikely to get that money... Now, though, how does Crawford accept anything less than this??
Even the Nats GM said they went overboard with the years so that JW would sign. It's all preposterous.
-Natron (12/5/10)

What is he Werth?

Boras and the Nats effed it all up!

http://sports.yahoo.com/mlb/blog/big_league_stew/post/Whoa-Jayson-Werth-signs-with-Nationals-for-7-ye?urn=mlb-292024


http://twitter.com/Buster_ESPN/statuses/11546416442769408
-StanO (12/5/10)

Managers - The End (for now)

Agreed. maybe the Mets masses are wrong on this one... (me included) -StanO (12/5/10)

Managers 3

I'm guessing Bobby is looking for either a lotta years or a lot of authority in decision making. I have no basis for thinking that but it's only idea I have. -Natron (12/5/10)

Managers Response

Nicely done. How is Bobby V getting weeded out like that? And yet Mets fans love him... -StanO (12/5/10)

Managers

On the deal for the new manager for the brewers: http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/columns/story?columnist=crasnick_jerry&id=5871665
The Brewers pruned an initial list of about 20 candidates down to eight, and Roenicke outlasted Bobby Valentine, Bob Melvin, Eric Wedge and Joey Cora, among others, to land a two-year deal with a club option for 2013.

Holy crap this is the goldmine!
http://mlbcontracts.blogspot.com/

Let's look at this together tonight I'm not gonna go through it all right now. But hooray!
-Natron (12/2/10)

Thursday, February 10, 2011

I'd say most definitely yes. Excellent batting average, power, run production. Remember when he was a feared RF? How does Abreu have more GG's?!
-StanO (11/19/10)
How about Vlad? What if he finishes with 500 hrs, 500 doubles, 1500 rbis, 2500 hits, something around .315-.320, an MVP, 9 All-Star games, 8 Silver Sluggers, and ZERO GOLD GLOVES?
-Natron (11/19/10)

Sunday, January 23, 2011

I checked out Bobby Abreu's numbers. He is NOT a hall of famer in my opinion. Heck, I think Adam Dunn's numbers are more impressive (but that's probably more my opinion than a legitimate assessment). Back to Abreu:

-Only been an All-Star 2x
-Only 1 Gold Glove
-Only 1 Silver Slugger

Has he amassed some good offensive stats consistently and for a long time? It would appear so. He seems like he's been a good player over a considerably long period of time. And some of his numbers aren't that impressive:

-2,200+ hits (very nice, not HoF)
-#27 all-time on the strikeout list

Before this season, he had 12 straight seasons of 150+ hits - quite nice and consistent. Definitely NOT a Hall of Fame (Hall-of-Faker) candidate to me. Though a solid career for a long time - with power (some), speed, and OBP. And a decent AVG to boot... -StanO (11/16/10)

HoF: Unheard Of... Conversation

I'm shocked because you hear about Ernie banks, Santo, etc. a lot but never this dude. Anyway, speaking of HoF'ers, I have been reluctant to see Bobby Abreu as a potential Hall guy. I dunno why but I view him as most people view Adam Dunn - that is, maybe his consistency numbed me to how impressive he might be. What I'm alluding to is the fact that if he plays another three full seasons (not necessarily great seasons, but he needs the at bats at least), he might end up as one of ten players all-time to collect 1500 hits/runs/rbis...and he'd also be a 300/300 guy. I read these numbers in an article don't worry, I didn't just happen to notice this. Would this be a case of coincidental numbers or would this make him Hall-worthy? Taking RJ's point about looking not only at the numbers but also at the way a player affects the game: did Abreu stand out as an above-and-beyond, Hall of Fame type player? There is a distinction (IMO) between a perennial All-Star and a Hall of Famer. LOL, auto-correct wanted me to write Hall of Faker. Niiice. -Natron (11/16/10)

HoF: Unheard Of Confrmation

I don't think I have. Some nice numbers he put up... And he pretty much stayed with one team... -StanO (11/15/10)

HoF: Unheard Of

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Billy_Williams_%28left_fielder%29
Did you ever hear of him? As Wiki says, he is getting a statue at Wrigley next year! And he seems to deserve it, and yet I NEVER HEARD OF HIM!? Had you? -Natron (11/12/10)

We Talkin' Catchers

He had a pretty impressive career given the small sample size. Like in terms of AVG and RBI pretty good production. Also, the whole WWI veteran aspect, you gotta wonder what woulda been if he had played those years rather than wait 'til he was approaching 30. His younger brother also played in the majors - his name was PINKY! Pinky and Bubbles sounds like a saturday morning cartoon! -Natron (10/9/10)

Catcher Conversation

BUBBLES! -StanO (10/9/10)

Catchers Continued

I would've guessed like Mike Piazza. And then not Johnny Bench's or Yogi Berras... I'll look at what you sent. -StanO (10/9/10)

Baseball Statistics

The only catcher besides Joe mauer to win more than one batting title. Looks like he fought in WWI:

http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/h/hargrbu01.shtml

You'd never guess the only other catcher. But you can look it up -Natron (10/9/10)
Impressive about Bautista - and I don't know about oppo power in general. I'm not sure how to find out the historical opposite field homers... Maybe it's on Baseball Reference somewhere?

Parker Posey has some impressive numbers - especially at catcher!

Well said by Neyer - and your racialist point is an interesting side note.

How did you even find that "Steve Carlton" stat? The one about having half of his team's victories in a single season... Also, having 30 CG is indeed sick.

When you gettin' home, sucka? -StanO (10/2/10)

Miscellaneous

If you thought Bautista's season long home run binge was hard to believe, how about this:
"Balls have been flying out of any stadium for us all year long," said Bautista whose second homer went to right field, the first one this season that didn't go to either left or left-center. from http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/recap?gameId=300930109 (emphasis mine)
That means he has pulled 53 homers. I would assume that is a record for most home runs hit to left of center field (since Bonds was a lefty, and I have to figure McGwire and Sosa had at least some opposite field power). If anyhting, I think this supports the case that he did NOT roid up this season, since if that were the case he'd be slamming home runs even to opposite field. I say this because I heard someone, maybe even Keith, say that one thing roids does is increase opposite field power, and that opposite field power is truly a rarity (see David Wright) I have to say I'm surprised by Bautista's walks total (99 thus far) and his OPS is a booming 1.005. I wonder if he'll get any MVP votes. He also has 91 XBH.

In our debate over NLROY, I somehow forgot to mention this stud http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/players/profile?playerId=30112 . I would say it's between Garcia and him, and perhaps given his role on their late push to the playoffs I might even go with bus'a-bus.

http://espn.go.com/blog/sweetspot/post/_/id/5511/making-cito-gastons-case-for-the-coop It's a short piece, and I only mention it because there's an interesting point he makes - that Gaston was the first black manager to win a WS. Now, Jackie Robinson's career in itself was only borderline HoF, mainly cuz it was so short once he got to the majors, but obivously he did break the (that is, THE) color barrier. Gaston didn't break the barrier, he just happened to be the first black manager to win,. IF he were the first black manager period AND he won, cool. But imagine if Jackie hadn't won an MVP award, and some years later another black player incidentally became the first black MVP. would that guy deserve the hall call just cuz luck would have it that he was first? Jackie wasn't by chance the first black player, yes certain doors were open to him, but I've watched and read enough to learn that he had a certain drive above other black players. Plus, he was damn good at baseball. Cito had some success early on, but trying to link his race to a Hall call is, well, racist - or at least racialist (i.e., making an argument based off race that is not necessarily a negative view of said race).

Most interesting awards races in my opinion: AL Cy Young. Sabathia probably deserves it, Price is great but not clearly better, and Felix just has a shitty team. and for those who think Felix deserves sympathy, I suggest they look at Steve Carlton's 1972 season with the Phillies when he had, um 27 out of a team total 59 wins. That's almost half the team's wins! EEGAD!
http://www.baseball-reference.com/teams/PHI/1972.shtml scroll to pitching totals, their wins total reflects the team's record.
http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/c/carltst01.shtml other insane stats from that year: over 340 IP, 310 k's; and my personal fave, THIRTY COMPLETE GAMES. that's just stupid.
apparently he's also kinda stupid. And when Tim McCarver says so, you know you're in trouble: http://www.nytimes.com/1994/04/14/sports/on-baseball-was-silence-better-for-steve-carlton.html

NL MVP - CarGo and Votto start the convo, Halladay could be in discussion, but also so should Tulowitzki (he went 4-4 last night, just an unbelievable September), and probably some others. But I'm kinda tired.
I have no idea who is even in contention for the AL MVP, and I already told you I think Halladay should win the NLCY hands down. -Natron (10/1/10)

Homegrown Mets

Here are homegrown Mets who, I think, should have starting roles next year. I just read the Mets have $50M coming off the books after 2011 and will not be spenders this year. If that's the case then they should let their you develop all season long!
SP: niese, pelfrey, mejia (depending on how his arm strength builds)
Closer: Parnell
C: Thole
1b: Davis
2b: Tejada
3b: Wright
SS: Reyes
RF: Martinez
CF: Pagan

The remaining position players are Bay, Beltran, Franceour. F-Mart might benefit from playing as a 4th OF to give Bay and Beltran rest in the corners. Franceour could become the best and most expensive defensive replacement ever. The other option is to continue to cultivate F-Mart in the minors but Christ he's been at the same level for two years and can't stay healthy. I say throw him into the fire and see if he sinks or swims, (to mix metaphors). Besides the OF, I think the line up should be entirely homegrown. And even the pitching should be solidified with youth, the other two spots going to Johan and Dickey!

That is all.
-Natron (8/26/10)

Young Mets... Continued

I appreciate your reservation about Mejia.

Parnell as a closer? That's a ballsy move, but okay.

If Martinez were halfway decent, I'd support your decision. However, from what I have seen, he is a miserable player. Not to mention his 2010 AAA stats. Well, they're not miserable, but they certainly aren't good:

r h 2b 3b hr rbi sb cs bb so avg obp slg
257396516 0 12 33 1 0 17 65 .253 .317 .455

I would certainly love Ruben Tejada to be our second baseman because he can field, throw, and looks to be pretty quick. However, he can't hit fo' shit right now and I'm very wary of that. He is 1 for 32 in the month of August. However, he has been walking this month. Anyway, I'm concerned about his ability to hit. If he hit like Rey Ordonez with more stolen bases, I might be okay with that (http://espn.go.com/mlb/players/stats?playerId=3399).

So basically, I agree with your picks with reservations about Parnell (at closer. But then again, who is reliable besides Mariano Rivera?), Martinez, and Tejada. I would love Tejada and Parnell to do what you say. However, I'm really low on F-Mart.

Nate, Frenchy has had much "better" at-bats recently (i.e., working the count - he has walked 3 times in his last 16 at-bats to 1 strikeout). I still like him for some reason...

I like the idea of a homegrown, young team on the field. But the Mets better lower ticket prices or ain't nobody showing up! I got the ticket price thought from a caller to Richard Neer - if this is going to be a "bad" team with many young players, then the Mets can't charge current ticket prices and it would probably be difficult for the Wilpons to lower the prices...

-StanO (8/25/10)